Romney Bettors Could Win a Hefty Jackpot on November 6
The US election battle is heating up with most polls showing the Obama and Romney neck and neck.
Betting odds also show a fairly close contest, Obama has better odds (2/5) than Romney (15/8) but it is still a fairly close contest.
However, this is not true in the opinion of Gallup, the US’s most respected polling company. According to Gallup’s survey, Romney would win by 6% if the elections were held today.
Gallup has successfully predicted all but 3 of the presidential elections since 1936 and their prediction has other polling experts confused.
According to Simon Jackman, a Stanford University political science professor and author of a book on polling, either Gallup is “doing something really wacky or the other 18 pollsters out there are colluding, or something.”
Frank Newport, Gallup’s editor-in-chief said that he doesn’t known why the results are different but said that they are “going over some additional tweaks with our methodologists to make sure we’re on top of it.”
On Friday afternoon Gallup’s daily tracking poll had Romney 6% ahead; the Reuters/Ipsos poll had Obama 3% ahead, a Public Policy Polling daily survey had Obama 1% ahead while Rand put him 3% ahead and Rasmussen had the two tied.