Breaking News: 23 Days To Go and Romney is in the Lead
With just 23 days left until Americans hit the ballot, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is leading in the polls.
The RCP Average, which is a “poll of polls” that includes CNN, Fox, Gallup, Rasmussen and other major polls, has Romney in the lead by 1.3%. The electoral map is bursting with change.
RCP has moved Missouri from toss up to leans Romney. A slew of “leans Obama” states have moved to toss up. In fact, only 10 states are solid Obama states.
Larry Sabato, the respected political scientist from the University of Virginia, puts Florida as likely Romney.
With Florida settled, that leaves 3 vital swing states up in the air – Virginia, North Carolina and Ohio. Obama took all 3 in 2008.
Virginia and North Carolina are “gems of the South” that should be easy game for Republicans. But demographic changes have put the two states in play for Democrats.
It may all come down to Ohio – like the Bush-Kerry election. Obama is currently leading in most Ohio polls, but the newswires are reporting a resurgence of Romney support.
Romney has his work cut out for him in Ohio. Ohio is home to a lot of auto industry jobs – much of the economy is based on what going on in Detroit, Michigan – home of the big 3 automakers.
Romney was and remains against the auto bailouts and many Ohioans believe that without the GM bailout, their state would have been hit even harder by the Great Recession. Most important, Ohio has always been a centrist state when it comes to politics. Neither candidate will win Ohio from the far left or far right.
What happens in Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia will determine the election, so stay tuned!